孟庆香;吴升;

• 1:福州大学福建省空间信息工程研究中心

摘要(Abstract)：

针对当前国内对人口流动空间分布问题常采用的单一指标以及数理统计方法、忽略了空间效应、很难正确识别人口流动地域类型以及空间分布模式的问题,提出了一种以县域以人口净迁移率为横坐标和以人口总迁移率为纵坐标的复合指标法。首先对2010-2013年福建省85个县域的人口流动地域类型进行了测度和划分;随后,为进一步探索人口流动集聚程度,采用探索性空间数据分析方法进行了量化分析。结果表明:福建省县域人口流动空间分布差异显著;福建省县域人口流动的地理集聚特征显著且存在明显的正相关关系,并且"低-低"类型分布占据主要地位。研究结果为发现福建省县域人口流动空间模式,更好地为人口流动区域差异进行量化分析提供了强有力的支撑。

关键词(KeyWords)： 人口流动;空间分布;复合指标法;探索性空间数据分析;福建省

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 数字福建建设项目(闽发改网数字函[2014]191号)

作者(Author): 孟庆香;吴升;

Email:

DOI: 10.16251/j.cnki.1009-2307.2017.01.016

参考文献(References)：

• [1]孙峰华,李世泰,杨爱荣,等.2005年中国流动人口分布的空间格局及其对区域经济发展的影响[J].经济地理,2006(6):974-977.(SUN Fenghua,LI Shitai,YANG Airong.Chinese transient population distribution spatial pattern and its influence on region economy development in 2005[J].Economic Geography,2006(6):974-977.)
• [2]岳天祥,王英安,张倩,等.北京市人口空间分布的未来情景模拟分析[J].地球信息科学,2008(4):479-488.(YUE Tianxiang,WANG Yingan,ZHANG Qian,et al.YUE-SMPD scenarios of beijing population distribution[J].Geo-information Science,2008(4):479-488.)
• [3]张苏北.福建省人口流动地域类型及其形成机制研究[D].福州:福建师范大学,2014.(ZHANG Subei.A study on regional patterns of population mobility and their forming mechanism in Fujian Province[D].Fuzhou:Fujian Normal University,2014.)
• [4]张茂发.河北省流动人口地域类型研究[D].石家庄:河北师范大学,2014.(ZHANG Maofa.Study on the regional types of Hebei Province's floating population[D].Shijiazhang:Hebei Normal University,2014.)
• [5]王雅雯.基于GIS的辽宁省人口集聚度评价研究[D].大连:辽宁师范大学,2008.(WANG Yawen.Study on population agglomeration degree evaluation of Liaoning Province based on GIS[D].Dalian:Liaoning Normal University,2008.)
• [6]刘盛和,邓羽,胡章.中国流动人口地域类型的划分方法及空间分布特征[J].地理学报,2010,65(10):1187-1197.(LIU Shenghe,DENG Yu,HU Zhang.Research on classification methods and spatial patterns of the regional types of China’S floating population[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2010,65(10):1187-1197.)
• [7]张苏北,朱宇,晋秀龙,等.安徽省内人口迁移的空间特征及其影响因素[J].经济地理,2013(5):24-30.(ZHANG Subei,ZHU Yu,JIN Xiulong,et al.The spatial patterns of intra-provincial migration and their determinants in Anhui province[J].Economic Geography,2013(5):24-30.)
• [8]朱宇.80年代以来福建人口的迁移变动[J].福建师范大学学报:哲学社会科学版,1994(1):17-23.(ZHU Yu.Migration and change of population in Fujian since eighty[J].Journal of Fujian Normal University:Philosophy and Social Science Edition,1994(1):17-23.)
• [9]田成诗,曾宪宝.基于“六普”数据的中国省际人口流动规律分析[J].西北人口,2013(1):1-4.(TIAN Chengshi,ZENG Xianbao.Analysis of fundamental laws of provinces floating population in China based on 6th census data[J].Northwest population,2013(1):1-4.)
• [10]钟斌青,刘湘南.基于空间化PageRank算法的人口流动空间集聚性分析[J].地理与地理信息科学,2011(5):82-86.(ZHONG Binqing,LIU Xiangnan.A spatialized PageRank algorithm for migration spatiaI agglomeration analysis[J].Geography and Geo-information Science,2011(5):82-86.)
• [11]薛羚茜,叶长盛.基于ESDA的江西省人口空间分布差异研究[J].东华理工大学学报:社会科学版,2014(2):110-117.(XUE Lingxi,YE Changsheng.Analysis on spatial distribution of population in Jiangxi Province based on ESDA[J].Journal of East China Institute of Technology:Social Science,2014(2):110-117.)
• [12]蔡霞.基于ESDA的江西省人口迁移空间模式与动力机制研究[D].南昌:江西师范大学,2014.(CAI Xia.Research on the spatial pattern and dynamic mechanism of population migration in Jiangxi Province Based on ESDA[D].Nanchang:Jiangxi Normal University,2014.)
• [13]宋萍,洪伟,吴承祯,等.基于ESDA的福建省县域经济差异[J].福建农林大学学报:自然科学版,2009,38(4):406-411.(SONG Ping,HONG Wei,WU Chengzhen,et al.Differences of regional economy of Fujian province based on ESDA[J].Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University:Natural Science Edition,2009,38(4):406-411.)
• [14]段成荣,杨舸,张斐,等.改革开放以来我国流动人口变动的九大趋势[J].人口研究,2008(6):30-43.(DUAN Chengrong,YANG Ge,ZHANG Fei.The nine trends of floating population in China since the reform and opening[J].Population Research,2008(6):30-43.)
• [15]汪志.上海市从业人口空间结构变化的趋势研究[D].上海:华东师范大学,2012.(WANG Zhi.On the changing trend of spatial structure of the employed population of Shanghai[D].Shanghai:East China Normal University,2012.)
• [16]张开洲,陈楠.1990-2010年福建省县域人口老龄化时空演变特征及其驱动机制[J].地理科学进展,2014(5):605-615.(ZHANG Kaizhou,CHEN Nan.Characteristics of spatial-temporal evolution in population aging and driving mechanism at country level in Fujian Province during 1990-2010[J].Progress in Geography,2014(5):605-615.)
• [17]吴孟泉,赵玉.中国奥运奖牌空间分布区域性差异的Moran′sⅠ指数分析研究[J].中国体育科技,2012(5):3-9.(WU Mengquan,ZHAO Yu.Analysis on Chinese olympic medals spatial distribution based on Moran′s I index[J].China Sport Science and Technology,2012(5):3-9.)
• [18]陈天惠,刘盛和.我国人口流动研究综述[J].安徽农业科学,2009,37(30):14940-14942,14948.(CHEN Tianhui,LIU Shenghe.Research summary of the floating population in China[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Science,2009,37(30):14940-14942,14948.)
• [19]HAMMAR T.Migration theory,talking across disciplines[J].The International Migration Review,2001,35(3):927-929.
• [20]WITHERS S D,CLARK W.Housing costs and the geography of family migration outcomes[J].Population,Space and Place,2006,12(4):273-290.